Libertad vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 5
LIB
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
TEM
1 - 2
LIB
6%
14%
81%
|
82 | 37 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
JLM
2 - 1
FER
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
RIC
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
2DE
0 - 0
FER
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
TAC
0 - 3
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
RÑU
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |