Libertad vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CER
2 - 0
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LQE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
RÑU
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
GUA
22%
29%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |