Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
LIB
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 2
FER
71%
18%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 5
LIB
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
RPA
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
OVE
0 - 1
DEP
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
5 - 1
SSJ
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 6
OLI
9%
17%
73%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |