Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
RÑU
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
LIB
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 0
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 0
DEP
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
DEP
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |