Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
RÑU
2 - 4
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
SPT
64%
22%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 0
DEP
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 2
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 2
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |