Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
6 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 3
RIV
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 2
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 1
BOC
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 1
DEP
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |