Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 2
LQE
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 4
LIB
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
5 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
12O
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
CCP
7 - 0
DEP
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |