Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
AME
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CER
2 - 3
LIB
26%
27%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAR
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
CER
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 2
CCP
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEP
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 4
RÑU
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |