Libertad vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 0
RIV
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
TAC
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAL
3 - 1
TOL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 0
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 0
NAC
46%
28%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
JUN
3 - 2
TOL
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
IND
2 - 0
TOL
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |