Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
9º
29
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIB
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 1
JLM
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
2DE
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
SPT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 1
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |