Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
1º
45
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 0
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
RIV
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPT
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
4 - 0
JLM
44%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 0
FLU
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
3 - 0
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |