Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
40
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
LIB
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 1
RES
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 5
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
RES
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |