Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
41
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
JLM
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 3
CCP
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 1
FOR
31%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
CCP
3 - 3
LQE
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
CCP
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |