Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 2
LQE
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SPT
2 - 2
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
CCP
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
GEN
61%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
CCP
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |