Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 5
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
OHI
2 - 2
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CCP
0 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
AME
4 - 4
CCP
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CCP
3 - 1
LAN
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |