Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
LIB
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
MIN
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAR
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LQE
1 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
CCP
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |