Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 7
LIB
21%
26%
52%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 0
IND
74%
17%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
CCP
22%
26%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CCP
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
TIG
4 - 2
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |