Libertad vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CER
3 - 1
RÑU
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
CER
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
CCP
17%
24%
60%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 0
CER
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
LIB
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |