Libertad vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIB
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 2
SPC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
DEP
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
CAR
47%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 2
CER
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CER
5 - 2
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |