Libertad vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
74%
18%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 4
LIB
25%
28%
48%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 5
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
5 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
4 - 1
NAC
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 3
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |