Libertad vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 0
12O
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 2
RES
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CCP
4 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 1
CFC
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 1
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 5
ATP
7%
20%
73%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 1
ATM
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
ATP
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |