Libertad vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 0
JLM
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPT
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUN
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
TAL
2 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
AGP
1 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 2
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |