Libertad vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
4 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
PEÑ
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
SBO
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 2
ALI
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
HUA
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |