Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
LIB
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LIB
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CCP
3 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +2 |