Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIB
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 3
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 5
CCP
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
12O
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |