Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 5
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
GEN
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
12O
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |