Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
RÑU
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
TAC
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
OLI
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |