Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
ONC
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ONC
0 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 1
SPT
67%
22%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
TAC
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
CCP
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPC
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |