Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 1
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
4 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 2
CCP
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CCP
4 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 3
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
2DE
1 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |