Liberia U20 vs Guinea U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BFA
1 - 0
GUI
32%
24%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
BFA
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1979 |
HUN
2 - 0
GUI
79%
13%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
GUI
0 - 3
SUN
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
URU
5 - 0
GUI
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |