Liberación C.F. vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberación C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
4 - 1
LIB
44%
23%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 3
LIB
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
4 - 2
ENT
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 3
LIB
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CDG
0 - 0
LIB
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FED
1 - 3
CDG
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FED
1 - 2
ELB
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
FED
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FED
2 - 0
OLV
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 4
FED
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |