Liberación C.F. vs Alcalá Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberación C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FED
2 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 3
PUE
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
CDG
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ELB
1 - 1
ALC
39%
24%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
ELB
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SJO
6 - 2
ALC
84%
12%
5%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |