Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BGD
2 - 0
LBN
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
4 - 0
BGD
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UAE
6 - 2
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 1
OMA
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 6
KWT
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
KAZ
1 - 1
SYR
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
TJK
3 - 0
SYR
17%
20%
63%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SYR
0 - 3
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
OMA
1 - 1
SYR
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 3
SYR
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |