Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
0 - 0
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
4 - 0
SOM
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
0 - 0
TKM
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
EGY
7 - 0
LBN
82%
12%
5%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 2
LBN
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2007 |
KSA
2 - 1
SYR
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
SYR
3 - 0
TWN
92%
6%
2%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
KOR
1 - 1
SYR
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SYR
0 - 2
IRN
8%
16%
76%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
OMA
3 - 0
SYR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |