Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
0 - 0
BHR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
4 - 2
YEM
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
SYR
4 - 1
LBN
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
KSA
1 - 0
LBN
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
KSA
1 - 1
LBN
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2002 |
SYR
0 - 3
KSA
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
SYR
4 - 1
LBN
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
BHR
2 - 0
SYR
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
YEM
0 - 4
SYR
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
JOR
3 - 0
SYR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |