Lebanon vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
4 - 0
SOM
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
0 - 0
TKM
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
EGY
7 - 0
LBN
82%
12%
5%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 2
LBN
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
BHR
2 - 1
LBN
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
2 - 0
TKM
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
6 - 1
SOM
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SDN
68%
20%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
6 - 5
UGA
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
BDI
0 - 1
SDN
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |