Lebanon vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
LBN
3 - 3
SYR
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
KSA
4 - 1
LBN
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
ALG
0 - 0
LBN
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
KWT
0 - 0
LBN
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
ARM
1 - 0
LBN
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
UAE
2 - 1
SDN
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
BHR
2 - 3
SDN
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
UAE
4 - 1
SDN
79%
14%
6%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 2
SDN
89%
9%
2%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1998 |
QAT
1 - 1
SDN
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |