Lebanon vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LBN
0 - 0
PLE
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
LBN
2 - 3
IRQ
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
LAO
0 - 2
LBN
15%
21%
63%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
LBN
0 - 1
KWT
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
KOR
8 - 0
LAO
84%
13%
3%
|
87 | 34 | 53 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
JPN
1 - 1
KOR
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 2
KOR
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
MMR
0 - 2
KOR
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 47 | 40 | 0 |