Lebanon vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
UZB
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LBN
5 - 2
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRN
5 - 0
LBN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
LBN
0 - 0
GAB
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
KOR
2 - 1
QAT
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 4
CRO
32%
27%
42%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
KOR
1 - 2
AUS
48%
26%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
40%
26%
35%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
UZB
2 - 2
KOR
17%
24%
59%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |