Lebanon vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
OMA
1 - 1
LBN
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 2
JOR
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 4
EGY
15%
27%
59%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
UAE
4 - 2
LBN
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRQ
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 0
PLE
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 1
QAT
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 2
QAT
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 5
SWE
15%
24%
61%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 0
BHR
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |