Lebanon vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
IRQ
4 - 0
LBN
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
LBN
1 - 1
OMA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1999 |
JOR
1 - 3
LBN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
LBN
0 - 2
SCG
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
KAZ
0 - 3
LBN
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
MLT
2 - 3
IRL
14%
25%
60%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 1
MLT
96%
4%
1%
|
54 | 89 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
YUG
4 - 1
MLT
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 95 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
MLT
1 - 2
ISL
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
MLT
0 - 2
MDA
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |