Lebanon vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 1
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 1
KOR
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
UZB
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LBN
5 - 2
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
6 - 0
IRQ
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRQ
0 - 1
JPN
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
OMA
1 - 0
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |