Lebanon vs Iraq analysis

Lebanon Iraq
63 ELO 83
-3.6% Tilt 8.8%
2578º General ELO ranking 527º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.6%
Lebanon
23.4%
Draw
61%
Iraq

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
Lebanon
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61%
Win probability
Iraq
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Lebanon
Iraq
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lebanon
Lebanon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2011
LBN
Lebanon
2 - 1
South Korea
KOR
12%
23%
65%
60 91 31 0
11 Nov. 2011
KWT
Kuwait
0 - 1
Lebanon
LBN
78%
15%
7%
59 82 23 +1
06 Nov. 2011
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
72%
18%
10%
59 82 23 0
11 Oct. 2011
LBN
Lebanon
2 - 2
Kuwait
KWT
17%
24%
59%
59 82 23 0
06 Sep. 2011
LBN
Lebanon
3 - 1
UAE
UAE
20%
25%
55%
57 78 21 +2

Matches

Iraq
Iraq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2011
JOR
Jordan
1 - 3
Iraq
IRQ
38%
28%
34%
83 80 3 0
11 Nov. 2011
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 0
China
CHN
35%
28%
38%
83 86 3 0
06 Nov. 2011
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
72%
18%
10%
82 59 23 +1
11 Oct. 2011
CHN
China
0 - 1
Iraq
IRQ
61%
22%
17%
82 86 4 0
06 Sep. 2011
SGP
Singapore
0 - 2
Iraq
IRQ
25%
25%
50%
81 66 15 +1