Lebanon vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 1
KOR
12%
23%
65%
|
60 | 91 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 1
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 2
KWT
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
LBN
3 - 1
UAE
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 3
IRQ
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
CHN
35%
28%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CHN
0 - 1
IRQ
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SGP
0 - 2
IRQ
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |