Lebanon vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
73%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
LBN
0 - 4
IRN
12%
21%
66%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
PER
16%
25%
58%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
LBN
0 - 1
PER
16%
25%
59%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
LBN
1 - 2
OMA
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
LBN
3 - 1
OMA
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
IRQ
2 - 0
THA
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CHN
4 - 1
IRQ
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
IRQ
2 - 0
UZB
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
IRQ
4 - 1
JOR
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
IRQ
3 - 5
SYR
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |