Lebanon vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
KWT
0 - 0
LBN
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 1
KWT
13%
21%
66%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 1
IRQ
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 1
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
THA
0 - 3
IRN
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
IRN
2 - 1
THA
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 1
IRN
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |