Lebanon vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
LBN
1 - 1
NZL
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1996 |
LBN
2 - 3
BHR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
LBN
2 - 1
OMA
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
LBN
1 - 2
OMA
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
LBN
1 - 0
ECU
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
KWT
0 - 1
IRN
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
28%
26%
45%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
IRN
2 - 0
QAT
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
TKM
1 - 0
IRN
21%
23%
57%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
TKM
1 - 1
IRN
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |