Lebanon vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
KWT
2 - 1
LBN
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
PLE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 1
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRN
17%
27%
57%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 2
POR
10%
21%
70%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOG
2 - 1
GAB
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
TOG
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 0
GAB
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |