Lebanon vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
UAE
4 - 2
LBN
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRQ
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 1
KOR
12%
23%
65%
|
60 | 91 | 31 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 1
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
IRQ
0 - 0
EGY
28%
29%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
MTN
97%
2%
0%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 2
NGA
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
97%
3%
0%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |