Lebanon vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
62.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
KOR
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 1
UZB
19%
22%
60%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
QAT
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
OMA
1 - 1
LBN
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 2
JOR
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SCO
3 - 1
AUS
42%
28%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 1
JPN
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 0
AUS
22%
28%
50%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DEN
2 - 0
AUS
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AUS
4 - 2
KSA
64%
23%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |