Lebanon vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
LBN
3 - 2
GEO
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
LBN
4 - 2
GEO
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRN
22%
24%
55%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
LBN
1 - 1
NZL
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1996 |
LBN
2 - 3
BHR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1996 |
OMA
0 - 1
ALG
17%
28%
55%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
OMA
0 - 1
ALG
17%
28%
55%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
RSA
2 - 1
ALG
52%
27%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
ALG
2 - 1
BFA
68%
20%
11%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |